Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss

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Authors: Pol Capdevila, Duncan J. O’Brien, Valentina Marconi, Thomas F. Johnson, Robin Freeman, L. McRae, Christopher F. Clements
Cited by: 2
References: 53

Abstract

Conservation policies aiming to halt biodiversity loss often focus on globally prevalent threats like habitat loss and exploitation, yet direct and interactive effects of multiple threats remain poorly quantified. Here, we go beyond prior meta-analyses or species-level studies by providing a global, population-level empirical analysis of threat interactions by examining 3129 vertebrate population time series worldwide with documented exposure to single and multiple threats. Populations affected solely by habitat loss or exploitation do not exhibit the steepest declines; instead, disease, invasive species, pollution, and climate change are associated with faster declines. Interactive threats contribute more to population declines than temporal or spatial variation. Counterfactual analyses reveal that mitigating multiple threats is essential to achieving nonnegative vertebrate population trends and halting biodiversity loss.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Wildlife-Road Interactions and Conservation Animal Ecology and Behavior Studies Environmental DNA in Biodiversity Studies

Publication details

Journal / source
Science Advances
Publisher
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Volume
12
Issue
7
Pages
eadx7973–eadx7973
Publication date
11 February 2026
Language
EN