Enhancing the accuracy of a multivariable prediction model to identify medical patients suitable for same day emergency care services

BMJ Health & Care Informatics 2026 Open access

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Authors: Catherine Atkin, Suzy Gallier, James Hodson, Xiang Li, Felicity Evison, Vinay Reddy‐Kolanu, Elizabeth Sapey
DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101382
Cited by: 2
References: 13

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To assess the performance of the Glasgow admission prediction score (GAPS) and ambulatory score (AmbS) for identifying emergency department (ED) attendances suitable for medical same day emergency care (SDEC) services and to derive and validate a novel tool for this purpose, the SDEC Triage Tool (SDEC-T). METHODS: A retrospective diagnostic study using routine healthcare data from three hospitals in a diverse urban setting (Birmingham, UK). All unplanned ED attendances by adults requiring internal medicine assessment were included. The primary outcome was suitability for SDEC, defined as discharged alive with a length of stay under 12 hours (LOS

Fields of Study & Subjects

Emergency and Acute Care Studies Statistical Methods in Epidemiology

Publication details

Journal / source
BMJ Health & Care Informatics
Publisher
BMJ
Volume
33
Issue
1
Pages
e101382–e101382
Publication date
1 August 2026
Language
EN