Luck and Predictability in the Life Course

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Authors: Arnout van de Rijt, Fabrizio Bernardi, William Foley, Lucas Sage
Cited by: 1
References: 108

Abstract

There is an emerging recognition among sociological theorists that luck may play a substantial role in life course achievement. There is also a nascent empirical literature that finds life outcomes to be unpredictable and unexpected life events to be a likely cause. A third literature of causal event studies provides thousands of point estimates of the life course consequences of random events. This review brings these literatures together under a unified framework.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Evolutionary Psychology and Human Behavior Financial Literacy Pension Retirement Analysis

Publication details

Journal / source
Annual Review of Sociology
Publisher
Annual Reviews
Volume
52
Issue
1
Pages
319–339
Publication date
24 April 2026
Language
EN