Abstract PS3-08-13: Exploratory analysis of palbociclib benefit in the PALLAS trial by SETERPR index and prior chemotherapy regimens (ABCSG-42/AFT-05/BIG-14-13)

Abstract Background PALLAS trial compared palbociclib plus endocrine therapy (ET) vs. ET alone in stage II-III HR+/HER2- breast cancer. SETER/PR index quantifies transcriptional activity related to estrogen and progesterone receptors and serves as a measure of endocrine sensitivity. In CALGB 9741, low SETER/PR (< 0.75) - reflecting endocrine resistance - predicted survival benefit from adjuvant anthracycline/taxane-based treatment. In PALLAS low SETER/PR was associated with worse prognosis and early recurrence. Early recurrences driven by endocrine-resistant tumors may obscure the benefit of palbociclib by disproportionately contributing events from a more resistant population. We hypothesized that palbociclib efficacy might vary by endocrine sensitivity and prior chemotherapy regimen, with greatest benefit in patients with intermediate SETER/PR index. Methods Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots and the treatment arms were compared with a log-rank test. Cox models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) (significance level used was a two-sided 0.05). SETER/PR index was successfully obtained for 3,090 PALLAS patients (TransPALLAS ITT cohort, Metzger et al. ASCO 2024). SETER/PR index cut points (0.75 and 1.50) were proposed from previous studies comparing different adjuvant chemotherapy regimens. Results Table 1 summarizes the efficacy of adjuvant palbociclib by prior (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy regimen. Palbociclib was associated with longer iDFS in the group who received prior anthracycline-paclitaxel chemotherapy (AC-P), though the chemo regimen x palbociclib interaction term was not significant (Table 1). In the 1,132 patients from the TransPALLAS cohort who received AC-P chemotherapy, the 518 (46%) patients with intermediate SETER/PR (0.75≤ SETER/PR