Scenario Planning for Strategic Decision-Making, Learning, and Managing Uncertainty
Abstract
Summary In times of radical uncertainty marked by geopolitical conflict, technological disruptions, societal transformations, and climate risk, scenario planning is critical for strategists. In this introduction to the special issue on scenario planning, we showcase scenario planning as a dynamic, integrative approach for strengthening strategic decision-making, facilitating organizational learning, and enhancing management amidst uncertainty without trying to predict the future. We highlight what we see as the collective contributions and managerial takeaways of this special issue that underscore the relevance of scenario planning for organizations seeking adaptability, resilience and success in turbulent environments, and suggest directions for future research.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Supply Chain Resilience and Risk Management
Innovation
Sustainability
Human-Machine Systems
Complex Systems and Decision Making
Publication details
- Journal / source
- California Management Review
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Volume
- 68
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 5–19
- Publication date
- 1 May 2026
- Language
- EN