Novel power-transformed statistical distributions in wind speed modeling

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Authors: İlhan Usta, Vural Yıldırım, Yeliz Mert Kantar
Cited by: 0
References: 29

Abstract

Wind energy is one of the fastest-growing renewable power sources, and its accurate assessment requires statistical distributions capable of capturing the inherent variability in wind speed. This study introduces six power-transformed distributions, Generalized Power Generalized Weibull (GPGWD), Power Generalized Weibull (PGWD), Power Ishita (PID), Power Lindley (PLD), Power Akash (PAD), and Power Shanker (PSD), as new alternatives for wind energy modeling. Using wind speed data from Eskişehir, Türkiye, the proposed models were compared with common benchmark distributions. Results show that GPGWD and PGWD consistently outperform benchmarks, with GPGWD providing the highest accuracy, particularly in R 2 , RMSE, and most KS and CHI tests; PGWD ranks second. Although PSD, PLD, and some other models perform well at stations with irregular or low wind regimes in metrics such as MAPE and PDE, overall findings indicate that GPGWD is the most flexible model across most stations.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Wind Energy Research and Development Energy Load and Power Forecasting Wind Turbine Control Systems

Publication details

Journal / source
Wind Engineering
Publication date
6 January 2026
Language
EN