Diplomatic Fault Lines: An Empirical Study of Anti-India Narratives and China’s Rise in Nepal

India and Nepal share a complex relationship rooted in deep historical and cultural ties, but recent years have witnessed significant turbulence. As a dominant power in South Asia, aspiring to become a vishwa guru [world leader], India continuously strategizes to maintain its influence in the Himalayan kingdom of Nepal. However, the growing presence of China, through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative, is reshaping the traditional sphere of influence that India has long held. Additionally, the involvement of other actors, such as the United States through the Millennium Challenge Corporation and other countries, further complicates Nepal’s geopolitical landscape. This research article aims to examine the ground realities of Nepal’s shifting geostrategic significance and critically assess whether the diplomatic changes highlighted in media and literature represent actual transformations or if Nepal’s strategic dynamics have largely remained unchanged.