Radiogenomics predicts immune microenvironment heterogeneity and response to combination immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND: The combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) with anti-angiogenic agents is the preferred first-line therapy option for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), yet only a subset of patients responds, urging the quest for prediction biomarkers. We aimed to integrate genomics with radiology to propose an immune-derived radiogenomics biomarker of response to such combination immunotherapy and evaluate its added value in clinical context. METHODS: We integrated bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) and proteomics data of 994 HCC patients with single-cell RNA-seq data of 11 samples across multiple datasets to identify an immune-related signature (IRS) that may influence sensitivity or resistance to such combined immunotherapy strategy, followed by verification of selected marker genes using immunohistochemistry and cytological experiments. We then trained/validated a cross-modality radiogenomics biomarker using machine learning based on TCIA database that was further tested in multi-scale independent cohorts covering 754 HCC patients. RESULTS: Integrative multi-omics analysis identifed a parsimonious 2-gene prognostic signature including KPNA2 and SMG5 that was significantly associated with immune heterogeneity and response to combination immunotherapy. Machine-learning pipeline exported the optimal 4-feature radiogenomics biomarker using support vector machine that significantly discriminated prognosis (hazard ratio 1.415–1.890; p < 0.05 for all) and modestly predicted response to ICI plus anti-angiogenic therapy (area under the curve 0.720–0.829) in independent retrospective series across major imaging modalities (computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging). In a prospective neoadjuvant cohort, this biomarker also showed favorable performance for predicting pathological response and tumor recurrence, accompanied by biological validation through single-cell RNA-seq analysis of pre-treatment biopsies. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a cross-device-cross-modal radiogenomics biomarker that can improve patient selection for emerging ICI plus anti-angiogenic therapy with novel potential therapeutic targets in HCC.