Stochastic modeling and asymptotic analysis of tuberculosis with environmental noise
Abstract
Tuberculosis remains a significant public health challenge, with transmission occurring both directly between individuals and indirectly via environmental reservoirs. To capture the impact of environmental and demographic fluctuations, we propose a stochastic TB model incorporating white noise into both human and environmental compartments. We establish the global existence and positivity of solutions, and derive sufficient conditions for stochastic persistence and extinction of the disease. When the persistence condition is satisfied, the system admits a unique ergodic stationary distribution; otherwise, all infected compartments tend to zero almost surely. Numerical simulations based on the Euler-Maruyama method support our analytical results. This study highlights the role of stochasticity in tuberculosis dynamics and extends classical deterministic thresholds, offering a more realistic framework for analyzing long-term disease behavior under uncertainty.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
- Volume
- 2026
- Issue
- 1
- Publication date
- 19 January 2026
- Language
- EN