Extrachromosomal DNA drives molecular and clinical heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-omics analysis and prognostic model development

BACKGROUND: Extrachromosomal DNA (ecDNA) is an emerging hallmark of cancer that promotes tumor evolution and heterogeneity. However, the molecular characteristics and clinical significance of ecDNA in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain incompletely understood. METHODS: The clinical outcomes, genomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, tumor microenvironment, and drug target landscapes of ecDNA-negative and ecDNA-positive HCC in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were compared. Next, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random survival forest (RSF) algorithms were used to screen the ecDNA gene signature. A nomogram was constructed and evaluated based on the risk score and clinicopathological features. Finally, the role of DNASE1L3 was validated through in vitro experiments. RESULTS: EcDNA-positive tumors showed increased vascular invasion, higher AFP levels, and more TP53 mutations. These tumors displayed unique activation of proliferation pathways, decreased stromal infiltration, and heightened immune activation. Our validated six-gene signature (RNF186, BMP6, AOC1, FBLL1, MYBL2, and DNASE1L3) demonstrated strong prognostic value when combined with tumor stage in the nomogram. Notably, DNASE1L3 was downregulated in HCC, showed endothelial cell-specific expression, and suppressed the proliferation and migration of Hep3B2.1-7 cells. CONCLUSION: Our study characterizes the molecular and clinical distinctions between ecDNA-negative and ecDNA-positive HCC and establishes a clinically applicable gene signature for patient prognosis. These findings advance our understanding of ecDNA-driven tumor heterogeneity and provide potential strategies for personalized HCC management.