Assessment of recurrence risk in stage IIB/C melanoma across time: Implications for stratification and surveillance.

View at publisher
Authors: Mohammad Saad Farooq, Caitlyn Balsay-Patel, Stanley P. L. Leong, Roger Olofsson Bagge, Mohammed Kashani–Sabet, Richard L. White, John T. Vetto, Shlomo Schneebaum, John Harrison Howard, Eli Avisar, Jukes P. Namm, Heidi Kosiorek
+8 more Barbara A. Pockaj, Sonia Tewani Orcutt, Jessica S. Crystal, Mark B. Faries, Tina J. Hieken, Jonathan S. Zager, Giorgos Constantine Karakousis, Cristina O'Donoghue
Cited by: 1

Abstract

9568 Background: Stage IIB/C cutaneous melanoma is associated with high recurrence risk, however stratification of risk in relation to time after surgery has not been comprehensively evaluated. We evaluated recurrence-free survival (RFS) at key time points, stratified by clinicopathologic factors, to identify patients (pts) at higher recurrence risk and personalize postoperative surveillance strategies. Methods: In this multi-institutional, international retrospective cohort study from the Sentinel Lymph Node Working Group database, we included pts with pathologic T3b/T4a/T4b and N0 disease who underwent surgical resection and sentinel node biopsy from 1994-2025. The type of first recurrence (local, regional, distant) was characterized based on time category (0-12, 12-24, 24-60, and 60+ months after surgery). Restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis was used to measure the average survival time up to a specified time point (6-, 12-, 24-, and 60-months after surgery), and associations of clinicopathologic variables (age, sex, Breslow thickness, ulceration and lymphovascular invasion [LVI]) with RFS. Results: We included 2514 stage IIB/C pts from 19 sites in 4 countries, with a median follow-up of 53 (stage IIB) and 49 (stage IIC) months. 675 (27%) pts experienced a recurrence (92 [14%] local, 238 [35%] regional and 345 [51%] distant), and 400 (59%) recurrences occurred within 24 months. The proportion of distant recurrences as the first recurrence increased significantly with time, comprising 39%, 50%, 62%, and 59% of recurrences in the 0-12, 12-24, 24-60, and 60+ month time categories respectively (χ 2 p

Fields of Study & Subjects

Cutaneous Melanoma Detection and Management Nonmelanoma Skin Cancer Studies Melanoma and MAPK Pathways

Publication details

Journal / source
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Publisher
American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)
Volume
44
Issue
16_suppl
Pages
9568–9568
Publication date
28 May 2026
Language
EN