Punishing Financial Crimes: The Impact of Prison Sentences on Defendants and Their Colleagues
Abstract
Financial crimes are costly to society but less severely punished than other nonviolent crimes. We investigate whether prison sentences reduce financial crimes. Using random assignment of judges in Finland to identify causal impacts, we find a prison sentence reduces defendant reoffending by 42.9 percentage points three years postsentencing. Given prior evidence of financial misconduct “contagion,” we also explore spillovers on colleagues. A prison sentence reduces the likelihood that a financial crime defendant’s colleagues commit crimes by 27 percentage points, suggesting broader deterrent effects of harsher punishments, but only for fraud cases. Last, we show financial crimes are not victimless crimes. (JEL K14, K22, K41, K42)
Fields of Study & Subjects
Law
Economics
and Judicial Systems
Crime Patterns and Interventions
Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
Publication details
- Journal / source
- American Economic Journal Economic Policy
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 477–510
- Publication date
- 29 April 2026
- Language
- EN