China’s Trade Dominance and the Role of Industrial Policies

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Authors: François de Soyres, Ece Fisgin, Mike Liu, Eva Van Leemput
Cited by: 1

Abstract

China's trade surplus surged to a record $1.2 trillion in 2025, exceeding 6% of its GDP, marking a new milestone in its integration into, and dominance of, the global trading system. This development has attracted heightened attention from policymakers and analysts, not only because of the sheer size of the surplus, but also because of growing concerns about the distribution of global manufacturing, the persistence of global external imbalances, and the role of industrial policy interventions in shaping trade outcomes.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Global trade and economics Economic Growth and Productivity Herbal Medicine and Trade Cooperation

Publication details

Journal / source
FEDS Notes
Publisher
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Issue
2026-03-23
Publication date
1 March 2026