Detecting Tariff Effects on Consumer Prices in Real Time – Part II

FEDS Notes 2026 Open access

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Authors: Robert Minton, Madeleine Ray, Mariano A. Somale
DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.4040
Cited by: 1

Abstract

Major changes in U.S. trade policy last year have led to a surge of interest in the timely assessment of the economic effects of tariffs. Minton and Somale (2025) developed a methodology to detect tariff effects on consumer prices in real time that relies solely on publicly available data.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Global trade and economics Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets

Publication details

Journal / source
FEDS Notes
Publisher
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Issue
2026-04-08-4
Publication date
1 April 2026