VORTEX: Multi-Parameter Framework for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasting
Abstract
Eight-parameter framework for operational prediction of rapid intensification in tropical cyclones. Integrates ocean heat content, eyewall symmetry, vertical wind shear, humidity, vorticity, convective organization, outflow efficiency, and intensity trends. Validation: 187 cases (2000-2024), 84% accuracy, outperforms SHIPS-RII by 12-18%. Includes VORTEX Heavy AI with LSTM-Transformer for 21 global basins. Repository: https://gitlab.com/gitdeeper3/vortex DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18617423
Fields of Study & Subjects
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Publication details
- Publication date
- 1 January 2026
- Language
- EN
- Document type
- Preprint