VORTEX: Multi-Parameter Framework for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasting

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Authors: Samir Baladi
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Eight-parameter framework for operational prediction of rapid intensification in tropical cyclones. Integrates ocean heat content, eyewall symmetry, vertical wind shear, humidity, vorticity, convective organization, outflow efficiency, and intensity trends. Validation: 187 cases (2000-2024), 84% accuracy, outperforms SHIPS-RII by 12-18%. Includes VORTEX Heavy AI with LSTM-Transformer for 21 global basins. Repository: https://gitlab.com/gitdeeper3/vortex DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18617423

Fields of Study & Subjects

Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes

Publication details

Publication date
1 January 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint