The Calibration Signal — Framework Prediction Market Pre-registration

Pre-registration for Paper 53: The Calibration Signal. Tests whether community prediction markets on void framework predictions (moreright.xyz/pages/predictions.html) produce calibrated forecasts (Brier < 0.25) and whether Pe_implied from market prices outperforms naive baselines. Pre-committed before first market resolution (CAR-P2, Aug 21 2026). Void framework: 300 falsifiable predictions, 26 kill conditions across 62 published papers (mean Spearman = 0.954).