Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Germania Magna — Preregistration of Sealed Out-of-Sample Prediction T45b (v9)

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Authors: Sven Mildner
Cited by: 1

Abstract

Sealed preregistration of T45b (Test 45b) from the Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Germania Magna (GMM v9). Records Model B out-of-sample predictions for six Ptolemaic places not used in model fitting: Bicurgium, Coenoenum, Lupfurdum, Susudata, Colancorum, Setuia. Predictions are sealed prior to any archaeological or historical verification. Success criterion: Model B places the majority of the six predicted points closer to their eventual modern identifications than Model A. Linked monograph preprint: https://doi.org/10.31223/X5KB51. Project: https://osf.io/8bgz9. Author: Sven Mildner, Germania Magna Research Project, Dresden.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Maritime and Coastal Archaeology Archaeology and ancient environmental studies Ancient Mediterranean Archaeology and History

Publication details

Publication date
1 January 2026
Document type
Preprint