Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Germania Magna — Preregistration of Sealed Out-of-Sample Prediction T45b (v9)
Abstract
Sealed preregistration of T45b (Test 45b) from the Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Germania Magna (GMM v9). Records Model B out-of-sample predictions for six Ptolemaic places not used in model fitting: Bicurgium, Coenoenum, Lupfurdum, Susudata, Colancorum, Setuia. Predictions are sealed prior to any archaeological or historical verification. Success criterion: Model B places the majority of the six predicted points closer to their eventual modern identifications than Model A. Linked monograph preprint: https://doi.org/10.31223/X5KB51. Project: https://osf.io/8bgz9. Author: Sven Mildner, Germania Magna Research Project, Dresden.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Maritime and Coastal Archaeology
Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
Ancient Mediterranean Archaeology and History
Publication details
- Publication date
- 1 January 2026
- Document type
- Preprint