The Civilization Discontinuity Model: Theoretical Framework and Testable Predictions for Pre-Younger Dryas Maritime Populations

Read full text
Authors: Brian Drapeau
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This registration documents a theoretical framework proposing that sophisticated maritime cultures may have existed along Ice Age coastlines prior to the Younger Dryas boundary event (~12,800 BCE), with knowledge transmitted through oral tradition following catastrophic disruption (Civilization 0.5) and subsequently informing early historical civilizations (Civilization 1.0). The framework generates specific, testable predictions about archaeological signatures that should exist in submerged continental shelf regions at 100-140 meter depths if the model is correct. These predictions can be empirically tested through systematic underwater archaeological survey using modern technology (multibeam sonar, sub-bottom profilers, ROVs). Key predictions include: 1. Worked stone structures, harbor formations, or megalithic constructions should be discoverable in predicted high-probability zones (Azores Plateau, Caribbean Basin, Western Sahara shelf, Sundaland) 2. If found, evidence should date to pre-12,800 BCE and show characteristics consistent with maritime specialization 3. Comprehensive survey finding no evidence would falsify the model's core claims This registration establishes the theoretical framework and predictions prior to empirical testing, submitted concurrently with manuscript to Journal of Archaeological Method and Theory (Springer, January 2025).

Fields of Study & Subjects

Maritime and Coastal Archaeology Archaeological and Geological Studies Pleistocene-Era Hominins and Archaeology

Publication details

Publication date
1 January 2026
Document type
Preprint