The Calibration Signal: Framework Prediction Market Pre-Registration (Paper 53 — Kill Conditions K1, K4, K7)

2026 Preprint Open access

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Authors: Anthony W. Eckert
DOI: 10.17605/osf.io/x2jgf
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Pre-registered analysis plan for Paper 53 calibration study. Tests community prediction market calibration on Pe-relevant outcomes. Covers kill conditions K1 (opacity-retention Spearman), K4 (non-void Pe elevation), K7 (global Spearman convergence at N=136).

Fields of Study & Subjects

Sports Analytics and Performance Forecasting Techniques and Applications Psychometric Methodologies and Testing

Publication details

Publication date
1 January 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint