Labor Supply and the Pension-Contribution Link
Abstract
We estimate the impact of public pension systems on labor supply far from the normal retirement age by exploiting Poland's switch from a Defined Benefit to a Notional Defined Contribution scheme for men born after 1948. Using the universe of taxpayers and this sharp cohort-based discontinuity in the link between current contributions and future benefits, we estimate an employment elasticity with respect to the return to work of 0.44 for ages 51-54. We estimate a lifecycle model that matches these results. The model implies that the change in the contribution-benefit link from the reform increases employment among those in their 30s but decreases it at older ages, reducing overall labor supply across the lifecycle by 2 months.Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Financial Literacy
Pension
Retirement Analysis
Retirement
Disability
and Employment
Economic Policies and Impacts
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Apollo (University of Cambridge)
- Publication date
- 27 January 2026
- Language
- EN