Wave Information Study ERA5 wind-field evaluation

The Wave Information Study (WIS) provides continuous wave hindcasts along US coastlines, including the Great Lakes and US Territories. As wave modeling and wind-field technologies have advanced, WIS is now positioned to transition to the new long-term archived hindcast wind fields available from ERA5, the fifth-generation global atmospheric reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Before adopting ERA5 operationally within the WIS hindcast, formal testing compared ERA5 wind-forced hindcasts to the existing WIS hindcasts using Nation Center for Atmospheric Research Reanalysis 1 (NCAR-R1) winds. Results were validated against collocated and concurrent point-source and altimeter-based wave measurements from 2015 to 2018. ERA5 showed a 53% improvement in significant wave-height bias in the Atlantic and 76%–77% improvements in the Pacific. While improvements in average wave period were less consistent, ERA5 still showed better correlation across all domains. Hawaii showed modest improvements, except for bias. ERA5 also outperformed NCAR-R1 in mean wave direction at peak frequency, with bias reductions of 5%–72%, most notably in Hawaii, where wave modeling is typically challenging. Overall, it was concluded that the ERA5 forced WIS estimates were more accurate than the NCAR forced WIS estimates, supporting the operational transition of WIS to ERA5.