A foundational summary dataset for "Persistent warm water anomalies before and after marine heatwaves amplify heat exposure and associated risks"

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Authors: Ricardo Utzig Nardi, Piero Luigi Fernandes Mazzini, Ryan K. Walter, Jian Shen
Cited by: 1

Abstract

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are a major threat to marine ecosystems globally, yet standard MHW definitions, despite providing consistent metrics, do not capture pre- and post-event warm anomalies, leading to systematic underestimation of total heat exposure experienced by marine ecosystems. Here, we analyze over 2,580 MHW events from 54 stations across 20 US estuaries to provide a comprehensive characterization of pre- and post-MHW thermal anomalies. We show that pre- and post-event phases are largely independent of core MHW metrics and often persist longer than the MHW itself. Although these phases are less intense than the MHW event, when combined with the MHW itself, they account for a substantial increase in total heat exposure—resulting in an approximately 153% higher cumulative intensity (°C·days) compared to the MHW alone—that cannot be reliably inferred from standard metrics. We present a new framework to quantify pre- and post-event anomalies that can be broadly applied across coastal and open-ocean systems. This framework is critical for understanding MHWs, assessing ecological impacts, guiding laboratory experiments, and informing ecosystem management.

Publication details

Journal / source
William & Mary School of Arts & Sciences
Publication date
22 May 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Dataset