The US Treasury Funding Advantage Since 1860

Read full text
Authors: Clemens Lehner, Jonathan Payne, Jack Shurtleff, Bálint Szőke
Cited by: 1

Abstract

We provide the first consistent historical estimate of US Treasury funding advantage, as measured by term structures of yield spreads between comparable highest-grade US corporate bonds and Treasurys. We construct a new dataset with monthly prices, cash-flows, and ratings for US corporate bonds over 1860-2024. We adjust yield curve estimation techniques to account for tax treatments and embedded options. Existing index-based spreads have mismeasured US funding advantage on long-term bonds in the post-WWI period, particularly during high inflation episodes. An asset pricing model for US funding advantage finds that standard risk factors, not quantity changes, explain most variation in spreads.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Credit Risk and Financial Regulations Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds

Publication details

Journal / source
SSRN Electronic Journal
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Publication date
1 January 2026
Document type
Preprint