How Do Cryptocurrencies Price Economic News?

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Authors: T. Niklas Kroner, Idrees Mohammed, Clara Vega
Cited by: 2

Abstract

We use novel intraday data to study the price discovery process in cryptocurrency markets around U.S. monetary policy, inflation, and labor market announcements. Our analysis reveals the following: (1) volatility, trading volume, and bid-ask spreads rise sharply at announcement times and remain elevated for up to 30 minutes relative to comparable non-announcement intervals, indicating that cryptocurrency investors pay attention to these announcements and that information is quickly incorporated; (2) announcement surprises associated with higher yields or "risk-off" conditions cause substantial cryptocurrency price declines - pointing to a potential strengthening of U.S. monetary policy transmission to the real economy in recent years; (3) the time-varying magnitude and direction of price reactions more closely resemble those of U.S. equities than those of fiat currencies or commodities, suggesting that cryptocurrencies behave primarily as risk-sensitive assets; (4) price impact estimates of order flow around announcements are consistent with rising institutional participation in cryptocurrency markets and their crucial role for price discovery.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Blockchain Technology Applications and Security Market Dynamics and Volatility Financial Markets and Investment Strategies

Publication details

Journal / source
SSRN Electronic Journal
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Publication date
1 January 2026
Document type
Preprint