Machine Learning Based Metamodel for Faster Life Cycle Assessment of Large Portfolio of Buildings

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Authors: Naveen Kumar Muthumanickam, General Services Administration, Xin Wang, Sonja Adams, Jingying Hu, Julia Sullivan, Anna Kjærhus Nielsen, Sarah Abrahams, Jamie Cutlip-Gorman, Heather Goetsch, Michael P. Deru, Walter Tersch
+2 more David Leites, Beth Savage
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Abstract

Managing a large portfolio of buildings involves decisions on reuse, retrofit, renovation, rehabilitation, and new construction, influenced by trade-offs between performance metrics such as cost, time, and operational flexibility over the building's life cycle. Traditional life cycle assessment tools for evaluating these metrics can be labor- and compute-intensive, requiring extensive data and modeling for each building. Metamodels (or surrogate models) using machine learning have been explored as faster alternatives, but training these models has been hindered by the limited availability of comprehensive data on key life cycle metrics. Recent advancements in machine learning, particularly deep learning techniques like zero-shot and few-shot learning, allow models to learn from sparse or limited data. We propose a machine learning-based metamodel that leverages these techniques for rapid estimation of key building life cycle metrics. This presentation will cover the model architecture, data collection, training, and validation processes, along with an ongoing case study applied to a large portfolio of buildings. We will discuss the model's performance in terms of accuracy, compute time, limitations, and its potential for expanding to additional life cycle metrics. This data-driven approach offers a promising direction for the rapid evaluation of large building portfolios.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Environmental Impact and Sustainability Life Cycle Costing Analysis Building Energy and Comfort Optimization

Publication details

Journal / source
OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information)
Publication date
12 January 2026
Language
EN