A global perspective on local sea level change: A comment

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Authors: Richard S.J. Tol, Richard J S Tol, Robert E. Kopp, Vivek Srikrishnan
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Abstract

We replicate Voortman and de Vos (2025). Although we unfortunately lack access to their data and code, we qualitatively reproduce their results. We argue that their null result-no significant acceleration of sea level rise in the tide-gauge record-is the result of a regrettably misread statistical correction. We show that their main conclusion is due to a lack of power: They estimate an overly complicated model on too few observations and use inappropriate statistical methods to do so. Estimating simpler models or pooling data, we find statistically significant acceleration.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Coastal and Marine Dynamics Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes Climate variability and models

Publication details

Publication date
7 February 2026
Document type
Preprint