Congestion and Operational Efficiency Simulation for Modern Airspace in Florida Using Agent-Based Modeling

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Authors: Sakurako Kuba, Mustafa İlhan Akbaş
Cited by: 0
References: 8

Abstract

The rapid growth of commercial aviation, frequent space launch activities, and emerging Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) operations are significantly increasing the complexity and congestion of airspace management. Florida’s airspace, characterized by major airports, extensive general aviation activity, and frequent space launches from Cape Canaveral, creates unique challenges in efficiently managing dynamic traffic flows. This paper presents a novel data-driven approach using agent-based modeling (ABM) to simulate dynamic aircraft interactions under Instrument Flight Rules (IFR) to generate airspace capacity congestion mapping in Florida. The ABM framework incorporates dynamic routing, temporary flight restrictions, and traffic separation characteristics, providing a technique to quantify operational performance using a Monte Carlo simulation. The airspace congestion risk assessment indicated that the saturation risk as 1.1% during normal operation, and the risk increases to 32.5% during space launch operation. The 3D congestion visualization aims to identify the sector congestion hot spot to find resolutions for future operations.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Air Traffic Management and Optimization Traffic control and management Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics

Publication details

Journal / source
AIAA SciTech Forum
Publication date
8 January 2026