ARC DP190102138: Delivering robust hydrological predictions for Australia’s water challenges: Presentations, Posters etc

This research has advanced how hydrological models are used to support water‑resource decisions under climate change, drought, and wildfire disturbance. It shows that commonly used models can substantially underestimate risk if hydrological errors are ignored, even when simulations appear accurate. The work introduces new approaches to build and test models that remain credible under change, including Virtual Hydrological Laboratories and the concept of hydrological fidelity. It also provides a landmark synthesis of how wildfires alter runoff across short‑ and long‑term timescales, guiding better model selection for disturbed landscapes. Together, these advances support more reliable and resilient water‑management decisions