Statistical modeling of combat functioning for army aviation airborne complexes system

The development of mathematical models of the combat functioning of army aviation aircraft complexes is the most important task in the field of researching the prospects for the development of aviation technology and substantiating requirements for it. One of the main requirements for these models is their objectivity and adequacy to the real combat process, which is achieved by choosing the appropriate mathematical apparatus and clarifying the content of designed combat tasks when studying the experience of modern wars and armed conflicts. The paper proposes a statistical model for the combat functioning of the system of aircraft complexes of the army aviation (SAC AA) while performing a typical calculated strike mission – the destruction of a single small-sized mobile ground target. A distinctive feature of the developed model is that it takes into account the specifics of helicopter combat use under current conditions (operations within battle helicopter groups, flights at extremely low altitudes, carrying out missions amidst intense enemy air defense counteraction), as well as random elements within the scope of the considered task. A description of the procedure for statistical modeling of the combat functioning of the SAC AA during execution of this calculated task is provided. The result of the modeling was an assessment of the probability of a random event – execution of a calculated task with a given accuracy and reliability by the SAC AA. Expressions for calculating indicators of combat effectiveness and combat properties of SAC AA based on modeling results are proposed. Based on the method of limit points, the adequacy of the developed model has been verified. Using the proposed model, studies have been conducted on the influence of the values of the helicopter technical specifications and their air weaponry complexes on changes in the combat effectiveness and combat properties of SAC AA while executing the calculated task. The developed model can be used to construct a system of combat functioning models for the army aviation airborne complexes, taking into account the contemporary concept of application, thus enabling further investigations aimed at substantiating the tactical and technical requirements for modern military helicopters in shaping their technical design features.