What’s a multiverse good for anyway?

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Authors: Julia M. Rohrer, Jessica R. Hullman, Andrew Gelman
Cited by: 3

Abstract

Multiverse analysis has become a fairly popular approach, as indicated by the present special issue on the matter. Here, we take one step back and ask why one would conduct a multiverse analysis in the first place. We discuss various ways in which a multiverse may be employed – as a tool for reflection and critique, as a persuasive tool, as a serious inferential tool – as well as potential problems that arise depending on the specific purpose. For example, it fails as a persuasive tool when researchers disagree about which variations should be included in the analysis, and it fails as a serious inferential tool when the included analyses do not target a coherent estimand. Then, we take yet another step back and ask what the multiverse discourse has been good for and whether any broader lessons can be drawn. Ultimately, we conclude that the multiverse does remain a valuable tool; however, we urge against taking it too seriously.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Social and Intergroup Psychology Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment Social Representations and Identity

Publication details

Publisher
Center for Open Science
Publication date
4 February 2026
Document type
Preprint