Modelling structured trial-by-trial variability in evidence accumulation

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Authors: Steven Miletić, Niek Stevenson, Luke Joseph Gough Strickland, Andrew Heathcote
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This tutorial presents a comprehensive framework for modelling structured trial- by-trial variability in evidence accumulation models (EAMs). Traditional EAMs assume independent and identically distributed (IID) parameters across tri- als, which fails to capture the temporal dynamics and structured variability inherent in cognitive processes. We introduce Bayesian hierarchical methods to estimate EAMs that incorporate trial-level variability, offering both data- driven and theory-driven approaches. Data-driven methods describe how decision processes vary across trials using trend models, while theory-driven methods explain adaptations in response to specific factors. By moving beyond the IID assumption, our approach allows for a more precise characterisation of dynamic cognitive processes such as learning, adaptation, and fatigue. This tutorial pro- vides step-by-step guidance on implementing these methods using the EMC2 package, demonstrating their application to experimental paradigms involving choice and response time data.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Publication details

Publication date
12 January 2026
Document type
Preprint