BayesPET: Bayesian Prediction of Event Times for Blinded Randomized Controlled Trials
Abstract
Bayesian methods for predicting the calendar time at which a target number of events is reached in clinical trials. The methodology applies to both blinded and unblinded settings and jointly models enrollment, event-time, and censoring processes. The package provides tools for trial data simulation, model fitting using 'Stan' via the 'rstan' interface, and event time prediction under a wide range of trial designs, including varying sample sizes, enrollment patterns, treatment effects, and event or censoring time distributions. The package is intended to support interim monitoring, operational planning, and decision-making in clinical trial development. Methods are described in Fu et al. (2025) .
Fields of Study & Subjects
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Probability and Statistical Research
Publication details
- Publication date
- 12 February 2026
- Language
- EN
- Document type
- Dataset