Agricultural structure and municipal resilience in the Northern region of Sinaloa

Objective. To characterize the agricultural specialization of the municipalities that compose the northern region of Sinaloa, based on their patterns of specialization and diversification in the production of crops. Design/ Methodology/ Approach. The agricultural structure of the five municipalities that compose the northern region of Sinaloa was evaluated based on the specialization indices of the planted area and the value of the production of the crops registered in 2023. With these indicators, four classes were constructed that combine patterns of concentration and diversification. Results. The analysis showed three categories of agriculture structure, resilience-oriented, moderately resilience, and vulnerable or at risk. Each one reflects different capacities to face adverse situations and sustain productive stability over time. Limitations/ Implications of the study. The study was limited to an agricultural cycle and did not incorporate external factors such as public policies or technological changes, which constraint the construction of future scenarios. Findings/ Conclusions. The geographical concentration of production of a small number of crops generates comparative advantages and greater market share but also implies structural risks. The identification of agriculture resilience categories provides a basis for the design of differentiated strategies that strengthen regional sustainability.