Climate Change Impacts on Vineyards: A Data-Driven Modelling Approach

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Authors: Ricardo Roque Enguiça, Filipa Soares, Irene Oliveira, Adelaide Cerveira, Elisete Correia, Regina Almeida, Aldina Correia, Lio Gonçalves, António Pirra, Ana Teixeira
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Abstract

This report addresses a challenge, proposed at the 181th European Study Group in Industry, that aimed to develop models that could anticipate and adapt to the impacts of climate change on the Vinho Verde region, concerning the production of wine. In this sequel and leveraging historical meteorological data and grapevine growth stages, regression models, able to infer consequences of future weather changes, were constructed. The analysis of acidity levels, alcohol content, and chemical analyses of wine samples, allowed to assess how climatic vari- ations affect wine composition. This study intends to synthesize this information in order to create future scenarios for the wine industry. By identifying trends and understanding the interplay of different factors, it is possible to assist vineyard owners in making informed decisions and adapting to evolving climates.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Horticultural and Viticultural Research Climate change impacts on agriculture Fermentation and Sensory Analysis

Publication details

Publication date
9 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint