Firm Data on AI

Read full text
Authors: Ivan Yotzov, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Steven R. Davis, Kevin R. Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent Meyer, Paul Mizen, Michael A. Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Greg Thwaites
+1 more Ben Zhe Wang
Cited by: 7

Abstract

We present the first representative international data on firm-level AI use.We survey almost 6000 CFOs, CEOs and executives from stratified firm samples across the US, UK, Germany and Australia.We find four key facts.First, around 70% of firms actively use AI, particularly younger, more productive firms.Second, while over two thirds of top executives regularly use AI, their average use is only 1.5 hours a week, with one quarter reporting no AI use.Third, firms report little impact of AI over the last 3 years, with over 80% of firms reporting no impact on either employment or productivity.Fourth, firms predict sizable impacts over the next 3 years, forecasting AI will boost productivity by 1.4%, increase output by 0.8% and cut employment by 0.7%.We also survey individual employees who predict a 0.5% increase in employment in the next 3 years as a result of AI.This contrast implies a sizable gap in expectations, with senior executives predicting reductions in employment from AI and employees predicting net job creation.

Publication details

Journal / source
National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher
National Bureau of Economic Research
Publication date
1 February 2026