Reserve Demand Estimation with Minimal Theory

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Authors: Ricardo Lagos, Gastón Navarro
Cited by: 1

Abstract

We propose a new reserve-demand estimation strategy---a middle ground between atheoretical reduced-form econometric approaches and fully structural quantitative-theoretic approaches.The strategy consists of an econometric specification that satisfies core restrictions implied by theory and controls for changes in administered-rate spreads that induce rotations and shifts in reserve demand.The resulting approach is as user-friendly as existing reduced-form econometric methods but improves upon them by incorporating a minimal set of theoretical restrictions that any reserve demand must satisfy.We apply this approach to U.S. data and obtain reserve-demand estimates that are broadly consistent with the structural estimates.

Publication details

Journal / source
National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher
National Bureau of Economic Research
Publication date
1 March 2026