Simultaneous Incremental Map-Prediction-Driven UAV Trajectory Planning for Unknown Environment Exploration

Efficient autonomous exploration in unknown environments is a core challenge for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) applications in unstructured settings. The primary challenges are exploration speed, coverage efficiency, and the autonomous, efficient, and obstacle-/threat-avoiding global guidance of UAV under local observational information. This paper proposes an autonomous exploration method driven by simultaneous incremental map prediction and the fusion of global frontier information to enhance the exploration efficiency of UAVs in unknown unstructured environments. Based on generative deep learning, we introduce an incremental map prediction method for 3D unstructured mountainous terrain, enabling the simultaneous acquisition of map predictions and their uncertainty estimates. Map prediction and trajectory planning are conducted concurrently: by utilizing the simultaneously predicted 3D map and its confidence (i.e., the uncertainty estimates), an overlap analysis is conducted between the flyable areas in the predicted map and the high-confidence regions. Dynamic guidance subspaces are generated by extracting global frontier points, within which shortest-time optimization is adopted for trajectory planning to maximize information gain and coverage per step. Experimental results demonstrate that compared to classical methods, our proposed approach achieves significant performance improvements in key metrics, including map coverage rate, total exploration time, and average path length.