Emergency Regulation Method Based on Multi-Load Aggregation in Rainstorm

With the rapid development of the Internet of Things (IOT), 5G, and modern power systems, demand-side loads are becoming increasingly observable and remotely controllable, which enables demand-side flexibility to participate more actively in grid dispatch and emergency support. Under extreme rainstorm conditions, however, component failure risk rises and the availability and dispatchability of demand-side flexibility can change rapidly. This paper proposes a risk-aware emergency regulation framework that translates rainstorm information into actionable multi-load aggregation decisions for urban power systems. First, demand-side resources are quantified using four response attributes, including response speed, response capacity, maximum response duration, and response reliability, to enable a consistent characterization of heterogeneous flexibility. Second, a backpropagation (BP) neural network is trained on long-term real-world meteorological observations and corresponding reliability outcomes to estimate regional- or line-level fault probabilities from four rainstorm drivers: wind speed, rainfall intensity, lightning warning level, and ambient temperature. The inferred probabilities are mapped onto the IEEE 30-bus benchmark to identify high-risk areas or lines and define spatial priorities for emergency response. Third, guided by these risk signals, a two-level coordination model is formulated for a load aggregator (LA) to schedule building air conditioning loads, distributed photovoltaics, and electric vehicles through incentive-based participation, and the resulting optimization problem is solved using an adaptive genetic algorithm. Case studies verify that the proposed strategy can coordinate heterogeneous resources to meet emergency regulation requirements and improve the aggregator–user economic trade-off compared with single-resource participation. The proposed method provides a practical pathway for risk-informed emergency regulation under rainstorm conditions.