Integrating AI and Statistical Modeling to Predict Key Sustainability Drivers of Climate Change Mitigation in Europe

This study presents a hybrid modeling framework aimed at enhancing climate mitigation strategies by evaluating the predictive power of sustainability indicators using both statistical analysis—correlation metrics, regression modeling, distribution tests—and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The analysis centers on variables critical to climate outcomes, including renewable energy use in transport and electricity, greenhouse gas emissions from production, and aggregated target completion values. The findings identify renewable energy usage in transport as the primary predictor of improved performance in the Sustainable Development Report (SDR), followed by overall target completeness, electricity-based renewables, and production-related emissions. Multidimensional interaction analyses highlight a synergetic link between transport renewables and target achievement, underscoring their strategic relevance for climate mitigation efforts. The ANN models demonstrate high predictive accuracy and minimal error, affirming the model’s suitability for scenario-based climate forecasting. Results offer actionable intelligence for policymakers and climate stakeholders to optimize resource allocation and accelerate low-carbon transitions. The study acknowledges limitations, namely, the relatively small dataset and EU-centric analysis, and recommends future extensions to more geographically diverse datasets and the incorporation of advanced econometric techniques and AI frameworks to improve generalizability and predictive potency.