Nondestructive Detection of Eggshell Thickness Using Near-Infrared Spectroscopy Based on GBDT Feature Selection and an Improved CatBoost Algorithm

Eggshell thickness is a critical indicator for evaluating egg breakage resistance and hatchability, yet traditional measurement methods remain destructive and inefficient. To address this, this study proposes a robust prediction approach by integrating Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) feature optimization with an improved CatBoost algorithm. First, a joint strategy of Standard Normal Variate (SNV) and Multiplicative Scatter Correction (MSC) was employed to eliminate spectral scattering noise and enhance organic matrix fingerprint information. Subsequently, GBDT was introduced for nonlinear feature evaluation to adaptively screen the top 50 wavelengths, effectively mitigating the “curse of dimensionality” and multicollinearity in full-spectrum data. A CatBoost regression model was then constructed using an Ordered Boosting mechanism, supported by a dual anti-overfitting strategy that merged 10-fold nested cross-validation with Bootstrap resampling. Experimental results demonstrate that this method significantly outperforms traditional algorithms in both prediction accuracy and generalization. The coefficients of determination (R2) for the calibration and prediction sets reached 0.930 and 0.918, respectively, with a root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) of 0.008 mm. Residual analysis confirms that prediction errors follow a zero-mean Gaussian distribution, indicating that systematic bias was effectively eliminated. This research provides a reliable theoretical foundation and technical support for the intelligent grading of poultry egg quality.