Evaluation of a Computational Simulation Approach Combining GIS, 2D Hydraulic Software, and Deep Learning Technique for River Flood Extent Mapping

Floods are among the most catastrophic natural disasters, causing severe impact on human lives and ecosystems. The proposed methodology integrates Geographic Information Systems, 2D hydraulic modeling, and deep learning techniques to develop a computational simulation approach for flood extent prediction and was implemented in the Enipeas River basin, located within the Thessalia River Basin District, Greece. Hydrological analysis was performed using the HEC-HMS software (version 4.12), while hydraulic simulations were conducted with HEC-RAS 2D. The hydraulic modeling produced synthetic flood scenarios for a 1000-year return period, generating spatially distributed outputs of flood extents. The deep learning algorithm was based on a U-Net (CNN) architecture. The model was trained using multi-channel raster tiles, including open access geospatial data such as Digital Elevation Model, slope, flow direction, stream centerline, land use, and simulated flood extents. Model validation was carried out in two independent domains (TS1 and TS2) located within the same river basin. Model outputs are adequately compared with both 2D hydraulic simulations and official Flood Risk Management Plan maps, and the comparison indicates close spatial and quantitative agreement, with flood extent area differences below 8%. Based on the results, the proposed methodology presents a potential and efficient tool for rapid flood risk mapping.