Agent- and Dose-Specific Intestinal Obstruction Safety of GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and SGLT2 Inhibitors: A Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials

Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have reshaped pharmacological management of type 2 diabetes, but emerging safety signals suggest a possible association with intestinal obstruction. Because many candidates for these agents already harbor risk factors for ileus and bowel obstruction, clarifying agent- and dose-specific gastrointestinal safety is clinically important. We aimed to re-evaluate the risk of intestinal obstruction across individual GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT2 inhibitors, with particular attention to dose stratification. We systematically searched eight databases through 21 January 2025 to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing GLP-1 receptor agonists or SGLT2 inhibitors with placebo or active comparators in adults. The primary outcome was incident intestinal obstruction (small or large bowel). A frequentist random-effects network meta-analysis estimated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) across drugs and dose tiers; Bayesian models and surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) metrics were used for sensitivity analyses and treatment ranking. Risk of bias and certainty of evidence were assessed with standard Cochrane and GRADE-adapted tools. Fifty RCTs (47 publications; 192,359 participants) met inclusion criteria. Overall, canagliflozin use was associated with a higher incidence of intestinal obstruction than control therapies (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.01-6.49), corresponding to an absolute risk difference of 0.15% and a number needed to harm of 658. High-dose canagliflozin (300 mg/day) showed the clearest signal (OR 3.42, 95% CI 1.08-10.76). In contrast, liraglutide was associated with a lower risk of intestinal obstruction (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.24-0.81), with an absolute risk reduction of 0.34% and a number needed to treat of 295. No other GLP-1 receptor agonist or SGLT2 inhibitor demonstrated a statistically significant increase in obstruction risk. Frequentist and Bayesian analyses yielded concordant estimates and rankings. From a randomized-trial perspective, intestinal obstruction risk is not elevated for most GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT2 inhibitors. A dose-dependent safety signal was observed only for high-dose canagliflozin, whereas liraglutide may confer a protective effect. These findings refine gastrointestinal safety profiles for modern antidiabetic agents and may inform perioperative bowel management, drug selection, and dose optimization in patients at risk for ileus or adhesive obstruction.