RMFGP: A Rotated Multi-Fidelity Gaussian Process Framework for Supervised Dimension Reduction

High-dimensional surrogate modeling with limited high-fidelity data poses a major challenge in uncertainty quantification. Classical supervised dimension reduction methods often fail in this setting due to insufficient accurate observations, while low-fidelity data are abundant but biased. In this work, we propose a Rotated Multi-Fidelity Gaussian Process (RMFGP) framework that enables reliable dimension reduction and surrogate construction under severe data scarcity. The proposed method integrates nonlinear multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression with sliced average variance estimation (SAVE) to iteratively identify informative input directions. Low-fidelity data are first used to extract coarse structural information, which is exploited to rotate the input space prior to multi-fidelity model training. Predictions generated by the trained RMFGP surrogate are then used to refine the dimension reduction, allowing accurate estimation of the central sufficient dimension reduction subspace even when high-fidelity data are scarce. A Bayesian active learning strategy based on predictive uncertainty is further incorporated to adaptively select new high-fidelity samples. Numerical examples, including stochastic partial differential equations, demonstrate that RMFGP significantly improves prediction accuracy, convergence, and uncertainty propagation compared to existing Gaussian process-based dimension reduction approaches, while requiring substantially fewer high-fidelity evaluations.