Dynamic Allocation of Emergency Medical Resources in Respiratory Infectious Disease Models Considering Vaccine Failure

Objective: Dynamic allocation of emergency medical resources is a critical task in the prevention and control of respiratory infectious diseases (RIDs). This study aims to address the challenge of a “run on the healthcare system” by proposing an effective resource allocation strategy to curb the spread of RIDs. Methods: Considering the infection severity of RIDs, the capacity of emergency medical resources (hospitalization rate), and vaccination status, we construct an SVInR dynamic model of RIDs that considers vaccine failure. Under the constraint of emergency medical resources and with the goal of minimizing the basic reproduction number, we propose a dynamic allocation strategy for distributing emergency medical resources among different types of infected individuals. Results: Simulation results demonstrate that improving the hospitalization efficiency of emergency medical resources significantly contributes to the effective control of RIDs. The model shows that targeted dynamic allocation helps reduce disease transmission. Conclusions: Validation using real-world data confirms that the model is effective and practical. It offers theoretical guidance for dynamically allocating emergency medical resources and supports informed decision-making in response to major emerging RIDs.