Mineral Supply Chain Resiliency and Transparency Assessment Using Graph Analytics and Stress Testing

This paper presents a comprehensive methodology for assessing supply chain transparency and resiliency using a data-driven approach. Leveraging global trade data and Harmonized System (HS) codes, the methodology maps each stage of the supply chain to enhance regulatory compliance and mitigate operational risks. Transparency is evaluated using a novel classification system that categorizes branches as fully transparent, highly transparent, moderately transparent, or non-transparent. This enables raw material traceability, Scope 3 greenhouse gas (GHG) emission estimation, and identification of high-emission nodes for targeted reductions. Resiliency is assessed through graph analytics and stress testing, incorporating metrics such as the Giant Connected Component (GCC) and probabilistic simulations to analyze vulnerabilities and develop recovery strategies. A case study on the Cr-13 Steel Drill Pipe supply chain highlights the benefits of incorporating scrap materials for sustainability, alongside challenges related to traceability due to regulatory gaps and non-transparent networks. Monte Carlo simulations identify critical nodes whose disruption significantly affects network connectivity; therefore, resiliency, and transparency. This methodology delivers actionable insights to improve supply chain resiliency, sustainability, and operational efficiency. It is scalable across industries, enabling stakeholders to optimize management strategies, align with global climate initiatives, and build resilient and transparent networks.