Estimating Post-Logging Changes in Forest Biomass from Annual Satellite Imagery Based on an Efficient Forest Dynamic and Radiative Transfer Coupled Model

The abundant satellite data have enabled the study of the dynamics of forest logging and its corresponding carbon balance with remote sensing. Change detection techniques with moderate-resolution imagery have been widely developed. Yet the signal processing or machine learning methods are sample-dependent, lacking an understanding of spectral signals of forest growth and logging cycles, which is necessary to distinguish logging from other types of disturbance, and mechanism models addressing post-logging tree changes are too complex for parameter inversion. We therefore proposed an efficient physical-based model for spectral simulation of annual forest logging by coupling forest dynamic model ZELIG and the stochastic radiative transfer (SRT) model. The forest logging simulation was conducted and validated by Abies forest field data before and after logging in Wangqing County, Northeastern China (R2 = 0.85, RMSE = 10.82 t/ha). The spectral changes in Abies forest stands with annual growth and varying logging intensities were simulated by the novel model. The annual Landsat-8 and Gaofen-1 fusion multispectral imagery of the study area from 2013 to 2016 was furtherly used to extract annual sequence spectral data of 350 forest plots and perform inversion of the annual difference in above-ground biomass (dAGB). With the inversion method combining the look-up table of the ZELIG-SRT model and the random forest regression, the retrieved dAGB of the 350 plots indicated consistency with the measured data on the whole (R2 = 0.71, RMSE = 13.32 t/ha). The novel physical-based approach for AGB monitoring is more efficient than previous 3D computer models and less dependent on field samples than data-driven models. This study provides a theoretical basis for understanding the remote sensing response mechanism of forest logging and a methodological basis for improving forest logging monitoring algorithms.