Evolution of Urban Spatial Morphology and Its Driving Mechanisms in Fujian Province Based on Multi-Source Nighttime Light Remote Sensing

Rapid urbanization complicates the precise, timely quantification of urban spatial morphology. This study examined urban spatial morphology in Fujian Province, integrating DMSP-OLS and NPP-VIIRS nighttime light imagery from 1992 to 2022 to extract the built-up urban footprint via the constructed VMNUI. This method achieved an overall accuracy >0.95 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.80 when the results were compared against land use samples. Utilizing Centroid Migration Analysis, clustering, Geographical Detector, and GTWR, we quantitatively analyzed Fujian’s urban spatial form and its driving mechanisms. The results indicate that the calibration and integration of NTL data effectively resolved saturation and overflow issues in the DMSP data, revealing an urban expansion rate of 3.79%, which centered on coastal areas. Geographical Detector analysis identified fixed-asset investment (q = 0.83), population (0.80), precipitation (0.78), and highway density (0.76) as dominant factors; GDP ∩ fixed-asset investment yielded the strongest interaction (0.873). GTWR further identified that slope aspect, GDP, and secondary industry share accelerated expansion in eastern Fujian, whereas population, urbanization rate, and mean temperature were key drivers of expansion in the west. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of urban spatial form development in Fujian Province over a long period, and based on the results, actionable, science-based optimization strategies with practical implications are proposed for sustainable development in the region.