The 2025 Mw 5.8 Aheqi Earthquake, China: Blind-Thrust Rupture on an Orogen Basin Boundary Fault from InSAR Observations

On 4 December 2025, nearly two years after the 2024 Mw 7.0 Wushi earthquake, an Mw 5.8 event struck the nearby county of Aheqi, southwestern Tianshan. Owing to the subparallel strikes of both nodal planes and the interspersed hypocenter locations among regional structures in the reported focal mechanisms, the exact fault geometry of this event remains unresolved, impeding a better understanding of regional tectonic activity and the associated seismic hazards. To resolve this, we applied Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) technique to map the coseismic deformation and invert for the fault geometry and slip pattern. Significant tropospheric delays are mitigated using a moving-window linear model and a multi-interferogram weighted averaging strategy. The result shows significant uplift (~5.0 cm for ascending track and ~6.0 cm for descending track), indicating thrust-dominated mechanism. Bayesian inversion reveals two possible fault models: a 31.6° north-dipping blind thrust or a 54.4° south-dipping back-thrust. While both fault planes fit the InSAR observations, integrated evidence from the absence of back-thrust development conditions, the surface deformation pattern, and regional topography indicates that the north-dipping Aheqi fault is the causative structure. Together with the steeper Maidan fault to the north, it forms the Orogen Basin boundary along the southern Tianshan piedmont. Our findings highlight that resolving moderate blind-thrust seismogenic structures using InSAR requires integration with pre-existing structural and geomorphic evidence. Furthermore, Coulomb stress calculations indicate a rupture-promoting effect from the Wushi earthquake, which occurred on a reactivated fault, onto the Aheqi event, with stress loading exceeding 2 bar at the hypocenter. Thus, the potential for stress-driven sequential rupture between reactivated and present-day active structures necessitates an updated seismic hazard assessment in the southern Tianshan.