Constructing China’s Annual High-Resolution Gridded GDP Dataset (2000–2021) Using Cross-Scale Feature Extraction and Stacked Ensemble Learning

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Authors: Fuliang Deng, Zhicheng Fan, Mei Sun, Shuimei Fu, Xin Cao, Ying Yuan, Wei Liu, Lanhui Li
Cited by: 1
References: 71

Abstract

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) serves as a core indicator for measuring the sustainable economic development of countries and regions. Accurate understanding of its spatio-temporal distribution is crucial for achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, current grid-based GDP data for China’s regions predominantly consists of data from specific years, making it difficult to capture fine-grained changes in economic development. To address this, this study proposes a spatial GDP framework integrating cross-scale feature extraction (CSFs) with stacked ensemble learning. Based on China’s county-level GDP statistics and multi-source auxiliary data, it first generates a density-weighted estimation layer. This is then processed through dasymetric mapping to produce China’s Annual High-Resolution Gridded GDP Dataset (CA_GDP) from 2000 to 2021. Evaluation demonstrates the framework’s superior performance in density weight estimation, achieving an R2 of 0.82 against statistical data. Compared to traditional single models like Random Forests (RF), it improves R2 by 13–54%, reduces mean absolute error (MAE) by 2–26%, and lowers root mean square error (RMSE) by 19–39%, with these advantages remaining stable across time series. The dasymetric mapping of the CA_GDP dataset clearly depicts the economic development patterns and urban agglomeration effects in the southeastern coastal regions, as well as the relatively lagging economic development in western areas. Compared to existing public datasets, CA_GDP offers significant advantages in reflecting the fine-grained economic spatial structure within county-level units, providing a more reliable data foundation for identifying regional economic disparities, policy formulation and evaluation, and related research.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Impact of Light on Environment and Health Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis Land Use and Ecosystem Services

Publication details

Journal / source
Sustainability
Publisher
MDPI AG
Volume
18
Issue
3
Pages
1558–1558
Publication date
3 February 2026
Language
EN