An Empirical Analysis of Running-Behavior Influencing Factors for Crashes with Different Economic Losses

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Authors: Peng Yun Song, Yiping Wu, Hongpeng Zhang, Jian Rong, Ning Zhang, Jun Ma, Xinwei Sun
Cited by: 1
References: 55

Abstract

Miniature commercial trucks constitute a critical component of urban freight systems but face elevated crash risk due to distinctive driving patterns, frequent operation, and variable loads. This study quantifies how long-term and short-term driving behaviors jointly shape crash economic loss levels and identifies factors most strongly associated with severe claims. A driver-level dataset linking multi-source running behavior indicators, vehicle attributes, and insurance claims is constructed, and an enhanced Wasserstein generative adversarial network with Euclidean distance is employed to synthesize minority crash samples and alleviate class imbalance. Crash economic loss levels are modeled using a random-effects generalized ordinal logit specification, and model performance is compared with a generalized ordered logit benchmark. Marginal effects analysis is used to evaluate the influence of pre-collision driving states (straight, turning, reversing, rolling, following closely) and key behavioral indicators. Results indicate significant effects of inter-provincial duration and count ratios, morning and empty-trip frequencies, no-claim discount coefficients, and vehicle age on crash economic loss, with prolonged speeding duration and fatigued mileage associated with major losses, whereas frequent speeding and fatigue episodes are primarily linked to minor claims. These findings clarify causal patterns for miniature commercial truck crashes with different economic losses and provide an empirical basis for targeted safety interventions and refined insurance pricing.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Traffic and Road Safety Automotive and Human Injury Biomechanics Urban and Freight Transport Logistics

Publication details

Journal / source
Urban Science
Publisher
MDPI AG
Volume
10
Issue
1
Pages
45–45
Publication date
12 January 2026
Language
EN